Correspondence to letter to the editor 1 on “Conventional and machine learning-based risk scores for patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma”
-
Chun-Ting Ho1, Elise Chia-Hui Tan2, Chien-Wei Su3,4,5
- Received November 6, 2024 Accepted November 7, 2024
Dear Editor,
We wish to extend our sincere gratitude to Zhanna Zhang and Gongqiang Wu for their valuable suggestions and thoughtful insights regarding our recent work [1]. We are pleased to engage in further discussion on our methodology and findings [2].
First, Zhang et al. raised an important concern regarding multicollinearity, particularly with the inclusion of composite variables such as serum biomarker scores, including the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). We fully acknowledge and share this concern, which is central to our study’s context: employing machine learning-based methods to enhance model performance and address issues like overfitting and multicollinearity. LASSO-Cox regression has been widely demonstrated as an effective method for variable selection, with the capacity to reduce overfitting and mitigate multicollinearity [3,4]. Consequently, we employed LASSO-Cox regression, and our CATS-INF score showed slightly improved performance compared to models developed using conventional methods. Based on these findings, we are confident that multicollinearity posed minimal concern in our study.
Second, Zhang et al. raised concerns about the potential limitations related to the follow-up duration, particularly given the favorable prognosis of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). While it is true that follow-up duration could be considered a limiting factor, our cohort had a median follow-up period of 38.0 months, which aligns with the methods and durations used in other well-regarded studies [5-7]. Additionally, we conducted further analyses involving HCC patients across all stages in a subsequent study, which yielded consistent results [8]. Therefore, we believe that the follow-up duration and stage-specific limitations are unlikely to have significantly affected our findings. Nonetheless, we agree that future research with longer follow-up periods would be beneficial.
We sincerely appreciate the comments from Zhang et al. and hope our response addresses their concerns effectively. Machine learning has significantly advanced survival analysis for patients with various diseases [9]. Additionally, it has been applied in evaluating non-fatal outcomes, such as the failure of direct-acting antivirals in hepatitis C virus patients [10]. We hope our responses illustrate our commitment to advancing the evaluation of HCC prognosis and contributing to personalized patient care.
- FOOTNOTES
- FOOTNOTES
-
Authors’ contribution Conceptualization, E C-H Tan and C-W Su; Original draft, C-T Ho; Review and editing, C-W Su.
Conflicts of Interest There are no potential conflicts of financial and non-financial interests in the study. Chien-Wei Su: Speakers’ bureau: Gilead Sciences, Bristol-Myers Squibb, AbbVie, Bayer, and Roche. Advisory arrangements: Gilead Sciences. Grants: Bristol-Myers Squibb and Eiger.
- Abbreviations
- Abbreviations
ALBI albumin-bilirubin
HCC hepatocellular carcinoma
LMR lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio
PNI prognostic nutritional index
- REFERENCES
- REFERENCES
REFERENCES
1. Zhang Z, Wu G. Insights on risk score development: Considerations for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma models. Clin Mol Hepatol 2025;31:e8-e9.
[Article] [PubMed]2. Ho CT, Tan EC, Lee PC, Chu CJ, Huang YH, Huo TI, et al. Conventional and machine learning-based risk scores for patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:406-420.
[Article] [PubMed] [PMC]3. Li H, Zhou C, Wang C, Li B, Song Y, Yang B, et al. Lasso-cox interpretable model of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma. Clin Transl Oncol 2024 Jul 4;doi: 10.1007/s12094-024-03588-0.
[Article]4. Zhang R, Li C, Zhang S, Kong L, Liu Z, Guo Y, et al. UBE2S promotes glycolysis in hepatocellular carcinoma by enhancing E3 enzyme-independent polyubiquitination of VHL. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:771-792.
[Article] [PubMed] [PMC]5. Ho CT, Chia-Hui Tan E, Lee PC, Chu CJ, Huang YH, Huo TI, et al. Prognostic nutritional index as a prognostic factor for very early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Clin Transl Gastroenterol 2024;15:e00678.
[Article] [PubMed] [PMC]6. Tsai FP, Su TH, Huang SC, Tseng TC, Hsu SJ, Liao SH, et al. Outcomes of radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma with concurrent steatotic liver disease. Cancer 2024 Sep 6;doi: 10.1002/cncr.35541.
[Article]7. Rich NE, Jones PD, Zhu H, Prasad T, Hughes A, Pruitt S, et al. Impact of racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities on presentation and survival of HCC: a multicenter study. Hepatol Commun 2024;8:e0477.
[Article] [PubMed] [PMC]8. Ho CT, Su CW, Tan ECH, Huang YH, Hou MC, Wu JC. SAT-484 conventional and machine-learning based risk score on survival for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. J Hepatol 2024;80:S398.
[Article]9. Ho CT, Tan EC, Su CW. Correspondence to editorial on “Conventional and machine learning-based risk scores for patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma”. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:1016-1018.
[Article] [PubMed] [PMC]10. Lu MY, Huang CF, Hung CH, Tai CM, Mo LR, Kuo HT, et al. Artificial intelligence predicts direct-acting antivirals failure among hepatitis C virus patients: a nationwide hepatitis C virus registry program. Clin Mol Hepatol 2024;30:64-79.
[PubMed]