Serum markers
Various serum markers have been evaluated in patient cohorts undergoing liver biopsy in order to improve noninvasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis in patients with CHC, including several with sufficient validation through multiple studies (
Table 8) [
3,
9,
13,
157-
166].
FIB-4 was developed in a cohort of 832 patients with concurrent CHC and HIV infection [
11]. In a study involving 847 patients with CHC, the AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.85, and that of diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.91. A FIB-4 value <1.45 demonstrated a high NPV of 94.7%, while a FIB-4 value >3.25 showed a high PPV of 82.1%, making it useful for excluding or diagnosing advanced fibrosis [
157]. The diagnostic performance of FIB-4 was assessed in 101 patients with CHC in Korea, and the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.87, with a cutoff value of 1.935, sensitivity of 97.1%, and specificity of 69.7%. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.86, with a cutoff value of 3.81, sensitivity of 76.9%, and specificity of 85.5%. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.83, with a cutoff value of 3.84, sensitivity of 85.0%, and specificity of 75.3% [
167]. In Western studies, the AUCs for diagnosing significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis ranged from 0.76 to 0.85, 0.83 to 0.88, and 0.83 to 0.93, respectively [
158-
160]. However, in a Taiwanese study involving 1,716 patients with CHC, the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis with FIB-4 was 0.7, and that for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was 0.73, showing lower diagnostic accuracy compared to those reported in Western studies [
161]. This may be influenced by the substantial presence of patients with either no or mild fibrosis and those with elevated ALT levels in the Taiwanese study compared to Western studies.
In a meta-analysis encompassing 37 studies, the median AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis with FIB-4 ranged from 0.66 to 0.70, while the median AUC for diagnosing cirrhosis was in the range of 0.75 to 0.82 [
109]. In a meta-analysis involving 11 studies, FIB-4 showed a sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 42% at low cutoff values ranging from 0.60 to 1.45 for significant fibrosis (
Table 9) [
168]. At higher cutoff values ranging from 1.0 to 3.25, FIB-4 exhibited a sensitivity of 59% and specificity of 74% for significant fibrosis. For cirrhosis, at a low cutoff value of 1.45, FIB-4 had a sensitivity of 87% and specificity of 61%, while at higher cutoff values ranging from 3.25 to 4.44, the sensitivity was 51%, and the specificity was 86%.
APRI was developed in a cohort of 270 patients with CHC, and it demonstrated an AUC of 0.80 for significant fibrosis and 0.89 for diagnosing cirrhosis [
9]. An APRI value ≤0.5 demonstrated a sensitivity of 91% and specificity of 47% for excluding significant fibrosis, while an APRI value >1.5 showed a sensitivity of 41% and specificity of 95% for diagnosing significant fibrosis. An APRI value ≤1.0 had a sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 75% for excluding cirrhosis, while an APRI value >2.0 showed a sensitivity of 57% and specificity of 93% for diagnosing cirrhosis.
In a multicenter prospective study involving 430 patients with CHC, an APRI value ≤1.0 showed a sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 79% for excluding advanced fibrosis, while an APRI value >2.0 demonstrated a sensitivity of 36% and specificity of 92% for diagnosing advanced fibrosis [
163]. However, in the aforementioned Korean study, the AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis with APRI was 0.76 [
167]. In the Taiwanese study, the AUCs for diagnosing significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.68, 0.68, and 0.70, respectively [
161]. This may be attributed to differences in age, ALT levels, and the extent of liver fibrosis among patients included in each study.
In a meta-analysis encompassing 33 studies and 6,259 patients with CHC, the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis with APRI was 0.77, and that for diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.83 [
169]. In another meta-analysis involving 47 studies, APRI demonstrated a sensitivity of 82% and specificity of 57% for diagnosing significant fibrosis at low cutoff values ranging from 0.4 to 0.7 [
168]. In the analysis of 36 studies, using a high cutoff value of 1.5, APRI showed a sensitivity of 39% and specificity of 92% for diagnosing significant fibrosis. Furthermore, for diagnosing cirrhosis, APRI demonstrated a sensitivity of 77% and specificity of 78% at low cutoff values ranging from 0.75 to 1.0. At a high cutoff value of 2.0, the sensitivity was 48%, and the specificity was 94%.
In various studies on CHC, comparisons of the diagnostic performance of APRI and FIB-4 for liver fibrosis have shown conflicting results [
158,
159,
161,
162,
167]. In a meta-analysis, the diagnostic performance of APRI and FIB-4 for significant fibrosis were found to be similar. However, for diagnosing cirrhosis, FIB-4 exhibited superior diagnostic performance compared to APRI [
162]. Caution is needed when interpreting the results from APRI, as it relies on AST alone, and those from FIB-4, as it incorporates AST, ALT, and age in its predictive model. These models may lead to overestimation in patients with intrahepatic inflammation or in elderly individuals.
The Forns index was developed in a cohort of 476 patients with CHC, and the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.86. The cutoff value of <4.5 was suggested, showing a NPV of 96% [
13]. In a Korean study, the AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis with the Forns index was 0.806, and that for cirrhosis was 0.822, demonstrating similarity to FIB-4 and APRI [
167]. In a study involving 340 patients with CHC, the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis with the Forns index was 0.83. When applying a cutoff value of >6.9, it showed a sensitivity of 44% and specificity of 93%. These results were similar to APRI’s AUC of 0.83, FIB-4’s AUC of 0.83, and ELF’s AUC of 0.85 [
158]. Additionally, the AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis using the Forns index was 0.85, and for diagnosing cirrhosis, it was 0.87. In a meta-analysis, the Forns index showed high diagnostic performance for diagnosing significant fibrosis across 18 studies, with a low cutoff value ranging from 4.2 to 4.5, demonstrating a sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 40% [
168].
ELF was developed through a multi-center cohort study involving 1,021 patients with CLDs, including 496 individuals with CHC [
3]. In the CHC patient group, the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.77, with a cutoff value of 0.063. It demonstrated a sensitivity of 95%, specificity of 29%, PPV of 27.7%, and NPV of 94.9%. In a prospective study involving 79 patients with CHC, the ELF test showed the AUC of 0.90 for diagnosing significant fibrosis [
164]. At a cutoff value of 7.7, it demonstrated a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 12.5%. At a cutoff value of 9.8, the sensitivity was 84.6%, and the specificity was 75.0%. At a cutoff value of 11.3, it had a sensitivity of 64.1% and specificity of 97.5%. In a meta-analysis encompassing 11 studies, the ELF test showed an AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis ranging from 0.77 to 0.98 [
170]. The cutoff values varied from 9.30 to 10.59, with sensitivity ranging from 65% to 100% and specificity ranging from 29% to 99%. Caution is needed when interpreting or comparing cutoff values for ELF as it has undergone multiple modifications for simplification. In a meta-analysis encompassing 37 studies directly comparing diagnostic performance among different NITs for liver fibrosis patients with CHC, the diagnostic performance for significant fibrosis was similar for the Forns index, APRI, FIB-4, and ELF. However, for diagnosing cirrhosis, FIB-4, which had an AUC of 0.89, outperformed APRI’s AUC of 0.83 and ELF’s AUC of 0.82 [
158].
FibroTest was developed in a cohort of 339 patients with CHC, and it demonstrated an AUC of 0.87 for diagnosing significant fibrosis with a cutoff value of 0.48. It showed a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 85% [
109,
166]. In a meta-analysis involving seven studies, FibroTest showed a sensitivity of 91% and specificity of 41% for diagnosing significant fibrosis at low cutoff values ranging from 0.1 to 0.3 [
168]. In a meta-analysis involving 10 studies, using high cutoff values ranging from 0.6 to 0.7, FibroTest exhibited a sensitivity of 57% and specificity of 85% for diagnosing significant fibrosis. In a meta-analysis encompassing 37 studies, FibroTest demonstrated AUCs for diagnosing significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in the ranges of 0.72–0.83 and 0.81–0.92, respectively [
109]. When comparing diagnostic performance, FibroTest outperformed FIB-4 and APRI in the diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis.
Additionally, Hepascore [
171], FibroMeter [
172], PIIINP and MMP 1 [
173], fibrosis probability index [
174], BARD score [
10], and others have been reported as serum markers for liver fibrosis in patients with CHC.
Generally, serum markers exhibit superior diagnostic performance for cirrhosis rather than significant fibrosis, and direct markers provide more accurate diagnosis of significant fibrosis compared to indirect markers [
168]. However, Korean studies on serum markers for diagnosing liver fibrosis in patients with CHC have been limited, and further validation with large cohorts of Korean patients is necessary. Additionally, more research is needed to assess the utility of serum markers for assessing liver fibrosis with those measured after sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients with CHC.
Vibration-controlled transient elastography
The usefulness of VCTE in patients with CHC has been demonstrated through numerous studies. Sensitivity for diagnosing significant fibrosis in patients with CHC varies between 48–96%, with specificity ranging from 32–93%, depending on characteristics and cutoff values in different studies. Sensitivity for diagnosing cirrhosis was 65–100%, and specificity was 85–96% (
Table 10) [
108,
119,
127,
159,
165,
175-
180].
The diagnostic performance of VCTE in patients with CHC was first evaluated through a multicenter prospective study in France in 2005 [
176]. For 327 patients with CHC, the AUC of VCTE for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.79, with a cutoff value of 8.7 kPa, sensitivity of 56%, and specificity of 91%. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.91; cutoff value, 9.6 kPa; sensitivity, 86%; and specificity, 85%. The AUC for diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.97; cutoff value, 14.5 kPa; sensitivity, 86%; and specificity, 96%. The largest-scale study conducted to date included 1,289 patients with CHC enrolled in three cohorts [
165]. The AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.76, with a cutoff value of 8.8 kPa, sensitivity of 48%, and specificity of 93%. The AUC for diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.90, with a cutoff value of 14.5 kPa, showing similar results with a sensitivity of 65% and specificity of 95%.
In a multicenter study involving 349 patients with CHC in Korea, the AUC of VCTE for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.82, with a cutoff value of 6.8 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 67.0% and 86.4%, respectively [
180]. The proposed cutoff values for significant or advanced fibrosis in this study were slightly lower compared to previous research because the study only included patients with ALT levels below five times the upper normal limit to compensate for higher LS values in patients with elevated ALT. Furthermore, the AUC for diagnosing cirrhosis was 0.91, with a cutoff value of 14.5 kPa, showing sensitivity and specificity of 81.8% and 89.0%, respectively, similar to studies conducted in Western populations.
In a meta-analysis of 37 studies involving CHC, the cutoff value of VCTE for significant fibrosis ranged from 5.2 to 10.1 kPa, with a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 83%. The cutoff value for cirrhosis ranged from 9.2 to 17.3 kPa, with a sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 91% (
Table 9) [
168]. In a meta-analysis of 17 studies presented at the American Gastroenterological Association, involving 5,812 patients with CHC, the cutoff value for VCTE was 12.5 kPa, with a sensitivity of 86% and specificity of 90% [
181]. Additionally, in groups with a cirrhosis prevalence of less than 5%, a cutoff value of 12.5 kPa resulted in a false-negative rate of 0.7% and a false-positive rate of 8.6%. In high-risk groups with a cirrhosis prevalence of 30%, the false-negative rate was only 4.2% and the false-positive rate was 6.3%.
The ANRS HCEP-23, a prospective study conducted in 19 institutions in France, compared the diagnostic performance of nine serum markers and VCTE in patients with CHC infection [
159]. In 382 patients evaluated with both serum markers and VCTE, the diagnostic performance for significant fibrosis was (in descending order): VCTE (AUC 0.83), FibroMeter (AUC 0.83), Hepascore (AUC 0.82), and FibroTest (AUC 0.81). For diagnosing cirrhosis, the highest diagnostic performance (in descending order) was: VCTE (AUC 0.93), FibroMeter (AUC 0.90), FibroTest (AUC 0.87), APRI (AUC 0.87), ELF (AUC 0.87), Hepascore (AUC 0.89), and FIB-4 (AUC 0.84).
In a meta-analysis comparing the diagnostic performance of serum markers and VCTE, including 37 studies, both FIB-4 and APRI showed similar diagnostic performance to VCTE for significant fibrosis [
109]. For cirrhosis, FIB-4 showed similar diagnostic performance to VCTE, while the diagnostic performance of APRI was significantly lower than VCTE. In another meta-analysis comparing the diagnostic performance of APRI and VCTE using a low cutoff value of 0.75–1.0 for diagnosing cirrhosis, VCTE accurately classified the presence or absence of cirrhosis in more patients compared to APRI in both low-prevalence and high-prevalence groups [
168]. Additionally, VCTE had lower false-positive and false-negative rates. Furthermore, when comparing VCTE with FIB-4 using a low cutoff value of 0.6–1.45, the diagnostic performance of VCTE was similar to FIB-4, but the false-positive rate was significantly lower. FibroTest demonstrated similar diagnostic performance to VCTE for diagnosing significant fibrosis and cirrhosis.
Studies have been conducted to enhance the diagnostic performance for significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with CHC by combining serum marker and VCTE [
182,
183]. In a study involving 729 patients with CHC, the AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis and cirrhosis with VCTE was 0.79 and 0.91, respectively [
182]. When combining the serum marker FibroMeter with VCTE, the diagnostic AUC improved to 0.85 for significant fibrosis and 0.922 for cirrhosis. In a study involving 3,754 patients with chronic hepatitis, of whom 45.5% had CHC, a sequential approach using a scoring system including age, AST, GGT, platelet count, and prothrombin time for initial assessment of liver fibrosis followed by FibroMeter and VCTE resulted in a sensitivity of 76.1% for diagnosing advanced fibrosis and 92.1% for cirrhosis [
183].
Study on the diagnostic performance of VCTE for liver fibrosis in patients with CHC infection after AVT and achieving SVR is limited. In a study involving patients with a LS value of 10 kPa or more before treatment and who subsequently achieved SVR after AVT, despite a reduction in LS after achieving SVR, more than half of the patients had evidence of cirrhosis on histologic examination three years later [
184]. Furthermore, the AUC for diagnosing cirrhosis using VCTE after achieving SVR was only 0.75, and LS values before treatment was the factor most strongly associated with cirrhosis. Serum markers such as APRI and FIB-4 showed similar results.
Thus, VCTE demonstrates high diagnostic performance with AUC above 0.8 for diagnosing fibrosis in most studies involving CHC. However, limitations of previous study include unclear exclusion criteria for comorbid conditions that could affect the results of VCTE, as well as the inclusion of patients with significant intrahepatic inflammation, which may lead to overestimation of test values [
118,
127].
Shear wave elastography
The diagnostic performance of pSWE and 2D-SWE for liver fibrosis has been evaluated in several studies involving patients with CHC. In a study involving 61 patients with CHC, the AUC of pSWE for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.79, with a cutoff value of 1.33 m/s [
185]. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.83, with a cutoff value of 1.43 m/s, and for diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.84, with a cutoff value of 1.55 m/s. In a study involving 101 patients with CHC in Korea, the AUC of pSWE for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.85, with a cutoff value of 1.335 m/s, yielding a sensitivity of 84% and specificity of 76%. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.84, with a cutoff value of 1.645 m/s, resulting in a sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 76% [
167]. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.83, with a cutoff value of 1.665 m/s, and a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 69%. The diagnostic performance of pSWE was similar to FIB-4, APRI, and the Forns index for both advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. In a meta-analysis including three studies, the cutoff value for diagnosing significant fibrosis using pSWE was 1.21–1.34 m/s, with a sensitivity of 79% and specificity of 89%. For diagnosing cirrhosis, based on analysis of four studies, the cutoff value was 1.6–2.3 m/s, with a sensitivity of 84% and specificity of 77% [
168].
In a multicenter prospective study in Europe involving 241 patients with CHC, the diagnostic performance of pSWE and VCTE was compared [
186]. The AUCs of pSWE and VCTE for diagnosing significant fibrosis were 0.81 and 0.85, respectively, while the AUCs for diagnosing advanced fibrosis were 0.88 and 0.92, and for diagnosing cirrhosis were 0.89 and 0.94, indicating similar diagnostic performance. However, the measurement failure rate of VCTE was 10%, significantly higher than the 5.3% observed with pSWE. pSWE showed diagnostic performance similar to ELF and FibroTest for diagnosing all stages of liver fibrosis.
In a study involving 211 patients with CHC, 2D-SWE demonstrated an AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis of 0.83, with a cutoff value of 6.16 kPa [
187]. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.95, with a cutoff value of 6.8 kPa, yielding a sensitivity of 97% and specificity of 90%. However, the diagnostic performance was lower in cases where BMI was >30 kg/m
2. In a prospective study in Japan involving 233 patients with CHC, 2D-SWE was feasible in 98.7% of patients [
188]. The AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis was 0.92, with a cutoff value of 1.56 m/s, yielding a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 86%. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.94, with a cutoff value of 1.72 m/s, resulting in a sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 84%. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.949, with a cutoff value of 1.93 m/s, and a sensitivity of 91.4% and specificity of 90.8%.
In a study comparing the diagnostic performance of 2D-SWE with serum markers, 2D-SWE showed significantly superior performance to serum markers including HA, type IV collagen 7S, M2BPGi, APRI, and FIB-4 in the diagnosis of all stages of fibrosis [
188]. In a study comparing the diagnostic performance of 2D-SWE, APRI, and FIB-4 in 79 patients with CHC, the AUCs for diagnosing significant fibrosis were as follows: 2D-SWE, 0.75; VCTE, 0.95; FIB-4, 0.81; and APRI, 0.77; with 2D-SWE having the lowest AUC [
189]. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUCs were: 2D-SWE, 0.83; VCTE, 0.99; FIB-4, 0.81; and APRI, 0.77; with 2D-SWE demonstrating lower AUC compared to VCTE.
The diagnostic performance of SWE in patients with CHC has not been extensively validated compared to other NITs, and caution should be exercised in interpreting results due to the diversity of the equipment used. While the measurement success rate, including among obese patients, may be higher than that of VCTE, results may be overestimated in cases of severe intrahepatic inflammation. Furthermore, comparative studies with other NITs are limited, and conflicting results have been reported. However, overall, studies have reported high diagnostic accuracy and similar performance to VCTE, suggesting that SWE may be useful for evaluating liver fibrosis in patients with CHC.
Magnetic resonance elastography
Research on the utility of MRE for assessing the degree of liver fibrosis in patients with CHC is limited. The first study involving 114 patients with CHC was conducted in Japan, revealing an AUC for diagnosing significant fibrosis of 0.99, with a cutoff value of 3.2 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 89% and 100%, respectively [
190]. For diagnosing advanced fibrosis, the AUC was 0.97, with a cutoff value of 4.0 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 87% and 100%, respectively. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.98, with a cutoff value of 4.6 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 100% and 85%, respectively. When compared to serum markers such as AAR, APRI, and FIB-4, MRE demonstrated significantly higher diagnostic performance for liver fibrosis at all stages.
In a study conducted in Japan involving 141 patients, MRE demonstrated the AUC for diagnosing the significant fibrosis of 0.88, with a cutoff value of 3.4 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 78% and 86%, respectively [
191]. For diagnosing advanced fibrosis, the AUC was 0.93, with a cutoff value of 3.61 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 96% and 75%, respectively. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.97, with a cutoff value of 5.03 kPa, and sensitivity and specificity of 87% and 87%, respectively. Furthermore, MRE exhibited higher diagnostic performance for significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis with AUCs of 0.86 and 0.92 respectively, compared to 2D-SWE (AUCs of 0.81 and 0.87), FIB-4 (AUCs of 0.81 and 0.87), and M2BPGi (AUCs of 0.79 and 0.86). MRE demonstrated significantly higher diagnostic performance for diagnosing cirrhosis compared to 2D-SWE (AUC, 0.91), FIB-4 (AUC, 0.84), and M2BPGi (AUC, 0.85).
In a meta-analysis including 12 studies and 697 patients with CHC, MRE demonstrated the AUC of 0.88 for diagnosing significant fibrosis, with sensitivity of 77% and specificity of 83% [
192]. The AUC for diagnosing advanced fibrosis was 0.94, with sensitivity of 84% and specificity of 89%. For diagnosing cirrhosis, the AUC was 0.92, with sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 81%.
Although the usefulness of MRE in CHC warrants further validation, it demonstrated a higher measurement success rate compared to other NITs and exhibited high diagnostic performance regardless of intrahepatic inflammation [
192,
193]. Therefore, it is deemed useful for patients with CHC.
[Recommendations]
1. In patients with CHC, liver fibrosis can be assessed using serum markers (B1), VCTE (A1), 2D-SWE (B1), and MRE (B1).