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Original Article

Predictors of spontaneous viral clearance and outcomes of acute hepatitis C infection

Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2014;20(4):368-375.
Published online: December 24, 2014

Department of Internal Medicine, Jeju National University School of Medicine, Jeju, Korea.

Corresponding author: Byung-Cheol Song. Department of Internal Medicine, Jeju National University School of Medicine, 15 Aran 13-gil, Jeju 690-767, Korea. Tel: + 82-64-754-8177, Fax: + 82-64-717-1121, drsong@jejunu.ac.kr
• Received: October 31, 2014   • Revised: November 26, 2014   • Accepted: December 1, 2014

Copyright © 2014 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Predictors of spontaneous viral clearance and outcomes of acute hepatitis C infection
Clin Mol Hepatol. 2014;20(4):368-375.   Published online December 24, 2014
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Predictors of spontaneous viral clearance and outcomes of acute hepatitis C infection
Image Image Image
Figure 1 Clinical outcomes of the patients with hepatitis C infection who were followed without antiviral treatment. *Undetectable HCV RNA at least once during follow-up. SVC, spontaneous viral clearance; HCV, hepatitis C virus.
Figure 2 Spontaneous viral clearance according to baseline levels of hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA and HCV genotypes.
Figure 3 Suggested algorithm for the treatment of patients with acute hepatitis C infection.
Predictors of spontaneous viral clearance and outcomes of acute hepatitis C infection
Variables Total n=32 Patients with SVC n=12 Patients without SVC n=20 P-value
Age, years mean±SD 46.8±19.1 44.1±19.8 48.4±18.9 0.6
Gender 0.85
 Male 18 7 (38.9) 11 (61.1)
 Female 14 5 (35.7) 9 (64.3)
Suspected source of infection 0.5
 Unknown 21 7 (33.3) 14 (66.7)
 Known 11 5 (45.5) 6 (54.5)
Symptomatic at diagnosis 0.6
 Yes 28 11 (39.3) 17 (60.7)
 No 4 1 (25.0) 3 (75.0)
Anti-HCV at diagnosis 0.2
 Positive 18 5 (27.8) 13 (72.2)
 Negative 14 7 (50.0) 7 (50.0)
AST levels 0.23
 <10×ULN 15 4 (26.7) 11 (73.3)
 ≥10 ×ULN 17 8 (47.1) 9 (52.9)
ALT level 0.054
 <10×ULN 9 1 (11.1) 8 (88.9)
 ≥10×ULN 23 11 (47.8) 12 (52.2)
Bilirubin level 0.3
 <2 mg/dL 17 5 (29.4) 12 (70.6)
 ≥2 mg/dL 15 7 (46.7) 8 (53.3)
HCV genotype 0.04
 1b 18 4 (22.2) 14 (77.8)
 Non -1b 14 8 (57.1) 6 (42.9)
HCV RNA 0.02
 <8.0×105 IU/mL 18 10 (55.6) 8 (44.4)
 ≥8.0×105 IU/mL 14 2 (14.3) 12 (85.7)
No. Sex Age Suspected source of infection Symptomatic Genotype AST (IU/mL) (peak) ALT (IU/mL) (peak) Bilirubin (mg/dL) (peak) Anti-HCV (baseline) Anti-HCV (final) HCV RNA (IU/mL) First undetectable HCV RNA (wk) HCV RNA (4 wk) SVC Relapse (mo.) Treatment SVR HCV RNA (final) Follow-up (mo.)
1 F 48 Transfusion Yes 1b 394 583 1.8 + + 8,170 4 Undetectable + No Undetectable 112
2 M 29 No Yes 1b 254 114 (551) 0.4 (1) + 96,000 NA cIFN Yes Undetectable 113
3 M 43 No Yes 1b 2,836 4,309 6.9 + 170,000 4 Undetectable + Yes (11) cIFN+RBV Yes Undetectable 91
4 M 3 Needle Yes 2a 372 961 0.5 + + 12,987 20 3,719 + Yes (20) Not eligible Detectable 116
5 M 18 No Yes 2a 1,424 1,235 3.2 260,000 4 Undetectable + No Undetectable 75
6 M 24 Operation Yes 2a 1,401 1,084 0.8 + + 2,100,000 NA cIFN+RBV Yes Undetectable 83
7 F 62 No Yes 1b 314 439 6.5 + + 3,780 4 Undetectable + No Undetectable 54
8 F 56 No Yes 2a 255 354 0.6 + + 850,000 72,700 cIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 77
9 F 50 No No 3a 91 109 0.9 + + 3,500,000 663,000 cIFN+RBV Yes Undetectable 33
10 F 77 No Yes 2a 148 (288) 70 (240) 0.8 + 64,000 1,020,000 cIFN+RBV Yes Undetectable 67
11 F 66 No Yes 2a 599 948 0.8 39,000 2 Undetectable + No Undetectable 58
12 M 63 No Yes 1b 1,333 1,576 7.6 + + 14,300 19 NA + Yes (13) pIFN + RBV Yes Undetectable 97
13 M 24 No Yes 1b 267 858 0.8 (1.2) + 1,100,000 NA pIFN + RBV Yes Undetectable 85
14 F 52 No Yes 1b 1,105 1,142 4 + + 7,550,000 115,000 pIFN + RBV Yes Undetectable 63
15 M 29 Needle Yes 1b 222 (452) 579 (1,219) 1.3 (2.2) + 16,000,000 NA pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 87
16 F 65 Needle No 2a 36 41 0.5 48,000 12 NA + No Undetectable 24
17 M 55 No Yes 1b 75 (432) 628 2.3 + 2,900,000 NA pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 90
18 M 76 No No 1b 135 204 0.6 + + 2,030,000 NA Refuse Detectable 77
19 F 72 No Yes 1b 833 611 8.3 + + 82,600 8 72,600 Refuse Detectable 51
20 M 47 No Yes 2a 926 1,719 6.9 1,700,000 4 Undetectable + No Undetectable 6
21 F 31 Sexual Yes 2a 162 280 0. 7 (1.4) + + 2,400,000 1,430,000 pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 71
22 F 35 Needle Yes 2b 541 431 2.3 + 16,900 4 Undetectable + Yes(21) Refuse Detectable 53
23 M 29 Accupuncture No 2a 395 (468) 303 0.8 (1.3) + 7,200,000 23 NA pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 62
24 M 24 No Yes 1b 1,211 1,211 0.7 + + 70,000 NA pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 16
25 M 57 Transfusion Yes 1b 405 522 5.2 + + 14,600,000 2,190,000 pIFN+RBV Yes Undetectable 19
26 M 60 No Yes 1b 2,687 2,527 5.4 + + 2,200 75,400 Refuse Detectable 112
27 M 45 No Yes 1b 642 721 2.5 (3.1) + + 780,000 970,000 pIFN +RBV Yes Undetectable 78
28 F 69 Operation Yes 1b 385 (540) 326 1.6 (10.2) + + 8,920,000 NA Refuse Detectable 53
29 M 51 No Yes 2a 783 480 0.2 (0.4) + + 234 4 Undetectable + No Undetectable 42
30 F 36 No Yes 2a 731 1,211 2.1 + 325,000 2,300 pIFN + RBV Yes Undetectable 30
31 F 72 No Yes 1b 705 594 14.9 + + 9,030 81,400 pIFN + RBV Yes Undetectable 16
32 M 29 No Yes 2b 986 1,786 5.4 (7.8) + 20,900,000 9 2,430 + No Undetectable 17
Variables Odds ratio (95% CI) P-value
HCV RNA at baseline ≥ 8×105 IU/mL 21.1 (1.8-248.8) 0.02
Non-genotype 1b 14.0 (1.4-142.1) 0.03
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of 32 patients with acute hepatitis C infection

SVC, spontaneous viral clearance; SD, standard deviation; AST, aspartate amionotransferase, ALT, alanine aminontransferase, ULN, upper limit normal.

Numbers in parenthesis indicate percentage.

Table 2. Detailed clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute hepatitis C infection

SVC, spontaneous viral clearance; SVR, sustained virological response; cIFN, conventional interferon;RBV, ribavirin; pIFN, peginterferon; NA, not available; AST, aspartate amionotransferase, ALT, alanine aminontransferase, HCV, hepatitis C virus.

Table 3. Baseline predictive factors for spontaneous viral clearance in patients with acute hepatitis C infection

CI; confidence interval; HCV, hepatitis C virus.